In the manner of Nigeria’s presidential politics, the recent defection of Gov David Umahi from the PDP to the APC is an early indication that the 2023 season is well underway. We shall be seeing more of such high-profile desertions in the months to come. Unlike previous races that were largely driven by ethnicity and religion, three key issues will influence the context and content of the 2023 contest: EndSARS protests and riots; the South East cause (or Igbo presidency) and the Yemi Osinbajo factor.
The fights and the fierce mobs that emitted in October have uncovered the tremendous potential and intensity of the adolescents in activating for a reason, and the significance of online media and influencers in getting the youngsters coordinated. A shrewd ideological group can profit by these energies if the gathering interfaces its foundation, message and informing with the plan that wellbeing the adolescents. Effectively, social shamefulness, financial prohibition and hardship and absence of chances rank top among the issues our young ones consideration generally about.
In spite of the fact that Umahi’s abandonment was not absolutely unforeseen, it brought to the front the propinquity of Igbo Presidency and the shadow it might project more than 2023. While the PDP appears to be set to give its official ticket back to Atiku Abubakar, APC is looking South, however uncertain on which zone to offer it to. As of now PDP is partitioned over Atiku’s arrangement to look for the ticket once more. A large number of its lead representatives and National Assembly individuals are against it. It’s not satisfactory if this will drive the Party to have a reevaluate. The APC is confronting an alternate sort of issue. The expanding rank of resistance against Tinubu inside Lagos APC is troubling to even senior Presidency insiders. There are fears that a Kwara-like insubordination that ousted the Saraki authority a year ago could be repeated in Lagos if the Asiwaju demands having his direction. Yet, the elderly person has a secret weapon.
I comprehend that there was an unwritten comprehension in 2014 between the CPC and ACN camps of the gathering to flip the official ticket between them. This clarifies why Babatunde Fashola, the Minister of Works, as of late approached the APC chiefs not to discard ”the arrangement they had toward the start”. Other APC tribal leaders like Baba Bisi Akande who was the interval administrator of the Party at its commencement and was key to the definition of the agreement, have been continually helping the President to remember this settlement. It was one of the things suggested when Akande as of late visited the President with a company of South West APC tribal leaders.
The peruser will review that APC was framed in 2013 from the consolidation of ACN (drove by Tinubu), CPC (drove by Buhari himself), ANPP (drove by Dr. Ogbonnaya Onu who has been Minister of Science and Tech since 2015) and New PDP (drove by Rotimi Amaechi). On the off chance that President Buhari keeps to this arrangement (I comprehend that he has consoled that he would), it implies the South East is out of the condition, and that leaves the field all the way open to driving competitors like Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu, Gov Kayode Fayemi, Babatunde Fashola and Vice President Osinbajo. However, being Muslims, Tinubu and Fashola won’t be alluring up-and-comers.
Between Gov Fayemi and Vice President Osinbajo, the distinction in style and approach couldn’t be starker. The Ekiti lead representative, who is additionally the Chairman of the Governors’ Forum, has been extremely bullish about his desire and has even started early preliminary chips away at it and, with the help of a couple of lead representatives, he has penciled down Gov Nasir el Rufai as bad habit official pick.
Then again, Osinbajo has indicated almost no or no interest in the race. Despite the fact that he has a generally excellent working and individual associations with the 36 lead representatives by ethicalness of being the executive of NEC, the Vice President has remained standoffish from the brawl; deciding to zero in on his work as an obedient VP and an enthusiastic Buhari supporter. He’s trusted in his staff and close partners that his significant distraction is to be an effective Vice President, and would not be upset if nothing else comes his direction.
The Vice President has never been politically goal-oriented. He was not even mindful that he was being viewed as Vice President. He was contending a case at the Supreme Court when he was declared VP late 2014; and at the present time, he knows about the immensity of the issues confronting the Buhari organization and the country. He simply needs to work till the president ends on a positive note”, said an APC lead representative from one of the South Western states to this essayist late November. Furthermore, the VP is guided by experience. The individuals who began this race too soon in the past had never supported the tape.
However you dice it, one point appears to be clear: With the way and way Professor Osinbajo has continued with his obligations; his capability, individual comportment, proficient lead and unwaveringness to the gathering and the President, it is hard to envision how his bid won’t be the one to watch in the development to 2023. For this, it is protected to figure that his adversaries won’t quit any pretense of wanting to foil his rise. For the individuals who might be trusting and supplicating that the VP quits fooling around with situating himself for the plum work and take the plunge immediately, they have a difficult, but not impossible task ahead.